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Interpreting the GFS Model





                                  Sample Message

          KSLC   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    2/25/2005  1200 UTC
          DT /JAN  25/JAN  26                /JAN  27                /JAN  28
          HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
          N/X                    18          39          26          38    24
          TMP  37 39 39 35 28 24 21 22 28 36 36 35 33 30 30 30 33 35 33 32 27
          DPT  21 16 14 19 18 16 14 15 19 25 32 32 29 26 26 22 31 26 27 29 25
          CLD  SC SC SC CL CL SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
          WDR  27 28 27 24 21 18 16 14 14 17 13 18 19 17 14 13 16 19 22 30 28
          WSP  16 13 10 04 02 02 04 03 04 06 04 04 06 08 07 05 11 12 06 01 04
          P06         1     0     0    12    30    26    30    52    60 34 26
          P12                     1          33          53          79    43
          T06      0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  1/ 0  2/ 0  1/ 1  3/ 0  5/ 1  2/ 0
          T12            0/ 0        0/ 0        2/ 0        4/ 1    16/ 1
          POZ   1  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  1  0  0  0  0 10 27 11  8  0  0  0  1
          POS  56 48 70 85 96100100100 67 26 22 27 30 29 30 53 51 54 50 37 45
          TYP   S  R  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  R  S  R  R  R  Z  S  S  S  S  R  R
          Q06         0     0     0     0     1     1     1     2     2     1
          Q12                     0           1           2           3     2
          SNW                                 1                       2      
          CIG   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  6  5  5  3  3  4  4  4
          VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  6  6  4  3  4  6  7  7
          OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N BR BR FG FG FG BR  N  N

          -------------------------------------------------------------------

          HR = Forecast hour, i.e. how many hours from the model run time. 

          N/X = daytime minimum/nightime maximum surface temperatures. 

          TMP = surface temperature valid at that hour. 

          DPT = surface dewpoint valid at that hour. 

          CLD = forecast categories of total sky cover valid at that hour. 

          WDR = forecasts of the 10-meter wind direction at the hour, given 
                in tens of degrees. 

          WSP = forecasts of the 10-meter wind speed at the hour, given in knots. 

          P06 = probability of precipitation (PoP) during a 6-h period ending 
                at that time. 

          P12 = PoP during a 12-h period ending at that time. 

          T06 = probability of thunderstorms/conditional probability of 
                severe thunderstorms during the 6-hr period ending at the 
                indicated time. 

          T12 = probability of thunderstorms/conditional probability of severe 
                thunderstorms during the 12-hr period ending at the indicated time. 

          POZ = conditional probability of freezing pcp occurring at the hour. 

          POS = conditional probability of snow occurring at the hour. 

          TYP = conditional precipitation type at the hour. 

          Q06 = quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) category for liquid 
                equivalent precipitation amount during a 6-h period ending at 
                that time. 

          Q12 = QPF category for liquid equivalent precipitation amount during 
                a 12-h period ending at the indicated time. 

          SNW = snow fall categorical forecasts during a 24-h period ending at 
                the indicated time. 

          CIG = ceiling height categorical forecasts at the hour. 

          VIS = visibility categorical forecasts at the hour. 

          OBV = obstruction to vision categorical forecasts at the hour. 


          Definitions of Categorical Elements

            MAV Ceiling Height Categories 
          1  < 200 feet 
          2  200 - 400 feet 
          3  500 - 900 feet 
          4  1000 - 3000 feet 
          5  3100 - 6500 feet 
          6  6600 - 12,000 feet 
          7  > 12,000 feet or unlimited ceiling 


            MAV Visibility (VIS) Categories 
          1  <= 1/4 miles 
          2  > 1/4 - 1/2 miles 
          3  > 1/2 - < 1 miles 
          4  1 - < 3 miles 
          5  3 - 5 miles 
          6  6 miles 
          7  > 6 miles 


            MAV QPF Categories 
          0  no precipitation 
          1  0.01 to 0.09 inches 
          2  0.10 to 0.24 inches 
          3  0.25 to 0.49 inches 
          4  0.50 to 0.99 inches 
          5  1.00 to 1.99 inches 
          6  2.00 inches or greater 
 

            MAV Cloud (CLD) Categories 
          CL  clear  
          SC  scattered > 0 to 4 octas 
          BK  broken > 4 to < 8 octas 
          OV  overcast  


            MAV Obstruction to Vision (OBV) Categories 
          N   none of the following 
          HZ  haze, smoke, dust 
          BR  mist (fog with visibility >= 5/8 mile) 
          FG  fog or ground fog (visibility < 5/8 mile) 
          BL  blowing dust, sand, snow 


            MAV Snow Fall Amount Categories 
          0  no snow or a trace expected 
          1  > a trace to < 2 inches  
          2  2 to < 4 inches  
          4  4 to < 6 inches  
          6  6 to < 8 inches  
          8  >= 8 inches  


            MAV Precipitation Type (TYP) Categories 
          S  pure snow or snow grains 
          Z  freezing rain/drizzle, ice pellets, or anything mixed with 
             freezing precip 
          R  pure rain/drizzle or rain mixed with snow









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